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Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding in Difference-in-Differences

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Submitted: Nov 3, 2026
Due: Nov 10, 2026
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Abstract

We derive sharp bounds for the average treatment effect in difference-in-differences designs when the parallel trends assumption is violated by unmeasured confounders. Our approach extends Manski-type partial identification to panel settings and provides closed-form sensitivity parameters with natural interpretations.