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JIAB-2026-3RQM

Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Confounded Instruments

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Submitted
Nov 4, 2026
Due
Nov 11, 2026
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Authors

Oscar Liu

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Abstract

We show that instrumental variables estimates of heterogeneous treatment effects are biased when the instrument is correlated with effect modifiers. We propose a two-stage semiparametric correction and establish root-n consistency under mild regularity conditions.

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A Author Cover letter
This paper resolves a longstanding identification problem in IV estimation of CATE that has been overlooked in the econometrics literature.

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